Toluca vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 2
TOL
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 3
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
LOB
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
SNL
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
TIJ
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
LEO
27%
23%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 2
LEO
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LEO
5 - 0
UAT
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |