Toluca vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
TIG
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
2 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 1
JAG
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
IRA
2 - 1
AME
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
3 - 1
IRA
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
IRA
2 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
1 - 1
IRA
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
IRA
2 - 3
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |