Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PUM
4 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIJ
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
QRO
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 4
PUE
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TIJ
0 - 1
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |