Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 0
DOR
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
LEO
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATM
19%
25%
56%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CAZ
2 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
AME
0 - 1
ATS
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ATS
2 - 1
PUM
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
ATS
2 - 1
UAP
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 3
ATS
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 1
ATS
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |