Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 2
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
QRO
2 - 3
TOL
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 1
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
QRO
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
ATS
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
AME
23%
24%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PAC
3 - 2
ATS
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATS
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ATS
2 - 1
QRO
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |