Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
30%
27%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
TOL
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PUM
3 - 2
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PUE
4 - 1
ATS
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATS
13%
20%
67%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
PUM
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 0
ATS
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
ATS
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |