Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 1
TOL
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
31%
28%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
QRO
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 2
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ATS
1 - 3
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ATS
1 - 1
CHI
48%
27%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
QRO
2 - 0
ATS
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATS
2 - 1
MON
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 1
ATS
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |