Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
TIG
2 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
4 - 4
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
ATS
3 - 0
QRO
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ATS
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
ATS
0 - 1
PUE
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 0
ATS
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ATS
2 - 0
JAG
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |