Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUM
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
ATL
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ATS
0 - 2
AME
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
ATS
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ATS
2 - 1
QRO
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ATS
5 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ATS
2 - 2
TIG
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |