Toluca vs Atlas Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
7 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
AME
7 - 2
TOL
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
DCU
1 - 3
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atlas Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 1
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 0
SNL
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
ATS
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 2
MOR
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
ATS
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |