Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MOR
3 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
31%
27%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ATS
2 - 1
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ATS
1 - 3
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
ATS
59%
21%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
ATS
3 - 2
PAC
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |