Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 3
TOL
38%
26%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
TOL
4 - 1
TIG
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
VER
1 - 0
TOL
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
PAC
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 2
PAC
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ATL
3 - 2
ATS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
ATS
3 - 1
PUM
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 3
ATS
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ATS
3 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |