Toluca vs Atlas Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
PAC
1 - 2
TOL
54%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ATS
1 - 3
NEC
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
LEO
1 - 1
ATS
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ATS
2 - 1
PUM
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
CAZ
4 - 2
ATS
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
ATS
1 - 0
REB
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |