Toluca vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SNL
5 - 1
TOL
39%
28%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
QRO
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
4 - 3
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
QRO
3 - 0
EST
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 2
CAZ
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 1
EST
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EST
5 - 2
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
5 - 2
EST
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |