Toluca vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 2
TOL
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
EST
0 - 2
CAZ
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SNL
1 - 1
EST
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
EST
2 - 1
TIG
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 0
EST
66%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
EST
3 - 3
ATS
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |