Toluca vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
TOL
3 - 0
QRO
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
SNL
2 - 1
TOL
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
EST
2 - 3
JAG
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
VER
1 - 1
EST
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
EST
1 - 6
ATS
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
TIG
2 - 1
EST
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |