Toluca vs Indios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
TOL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
CAZ
24%
26%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ATS
7 - 1
IND
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SNL
1 - 1
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
IND
0 - 1
MOR
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
IND
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |