Toluca vs Indios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUM
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AME
2 - 2
TOL
44%
27%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 3
ATL
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
52%
26%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
IND
0 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 2
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
MON
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
IND
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 0
IND
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |