Liga MX Finals - Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Toluca vs Indios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
37%
28%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SNL
1 - 5
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TOL
4 - 1
TIG
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
37%
28%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
IND
3 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 1
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 2
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
IND
0 - 0
PUM
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |