Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 1
TOL
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MAZ
1 - 2
TOL
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
PUM
5 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
PUM
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAZ
33%
26%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 2
NEC
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AME
3 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
CAZ
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |