Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TOL
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
TIG
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUE
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 3
TOL
35%
26%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 0
CAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TIJ
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 2
CAZ
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 1
CAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |