Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PUM
0 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 0
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 4
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
CAZ
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VER
3 - 1
CAZ
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TIG
42%
27%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAZ
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |