Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 1
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
COM
1 - 2
TOL
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 4
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 2
QRO
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 2
CAZ
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 2
CAZ
29%
26%
46%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 0
CSH
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |