Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
ATS
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
5 - 1
COM
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIJ
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PUM
2 - 2
CAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
CSH
1 - 2
CAZ
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 1
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |