Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
PRI
3 - 2
TOL
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
TOL
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 0
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ARA
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 1
CAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOR
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 0
QRO
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |