Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
COC
2 - 2
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
IND
62%
23%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAZ
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SNL
1 - 2
CAZ
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 1
ATS
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
CAZ
24%
26%
51%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |