Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
31%
27%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
SNL
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 0
TOL
36%
27%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MON
1 - 3
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 2
JAG
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CAZ
5 - 1
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ATS
0 - 1
CAZ
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
CAZ
2 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2005 |
CAZ
1 - 3
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
AME
3 - 1
CAZ
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |