Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis

Toluca Cruz Azul
84 ELO 81
12% Tilt 5.6%
332º General ELO ranking 321º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.6%
Toluca
20.4%
Draw
17%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
Toluca
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.1%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toluca
+24%
+25%
Cruz Azul

ELO progression

Toluca
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2003
PUM
Pumas UNAM
3 - 2
Toluca
TOL
42%
25%
33%
84 81 3 0
28 Sep. 2003
TOL
Toluca
0 - 0
Puebla
PUE
82%
11%
7%
84 73 11 0
24 Sep. 2003
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
34%
27%
39%
84 81 3 0
21 Sep. 2003
TOL
Toluca
2 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
66%
19%
15%
84 79 5 0
17 Sep. 2003
MOR
CA Morelia
3 - 3
Toluca
TOL
47%
25%
28%
84 82 2 0

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2003
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
48%
23%
29%
80 82 2 0
28 Sep. 2003
QRO
Querétaro
3 - 3
Cruz Azul
CAZ
23%
26%
51%
81 68 13 -1
24 Sep. 2003
CAZ
Cruz Azul
0 - 2
CA Morelia
MOR
45%
25%
30%
81 82 1 0
21 Sep. 2003
PAC
Pachuca
4 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
40%
27%
32%
81 77 4 0
16 Sep. 2003
ATL
Atlante FC
3 - 3
Cruz Azul
CAZ
57%
21%
22%
81 80 1 0