Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PUM
3 - 2
TOL
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
0 - 0
PUE
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIG
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
QRO
3 - 3
CAZ
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
PAC
4 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 3
CAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |