Toluca vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
CON
3 - 3
TOL
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
24%
27%
50%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 0
AME
63%
20%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PUE
3 - 1
TOL
23%
27%
50%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 2
CON
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
STR
2 - 1
CAZ
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
CAZ
3 - 0
COR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
AUR
2 - 0
CAZ
29%
26%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CAZ
2 - 0
PUM
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |