Toluca vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
AME
7 - 2
TOL
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
DCU
1 - 3
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
COM
0 - 2
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
VID
1 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
DSA
0 - 1
MAR
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |