Toluca vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 2
EST
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 3
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
AME
0 - 2
LDA
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
NEC
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
RIV
0 - 1
AME
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
PUM
61%
20%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
COR
0 - 2
AME
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |