Toluca U15 vs Pumas UNAM U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
TUA
0 - 0
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
TOL
4 - 0
JUA
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
AME
3 - 0
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
JUA
1 - 2
PUN
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
PUN
3 - 2
NCX
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PUN
3 - 1
CAZ
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
QRT
0 - 2
PUN
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PAC
3 - 0
PUN
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |