Toluca U15 vs Pumas UNAM U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PBL
1 - 1
TOL
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TOL
3 - 2
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
42%
26%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
QRT
0 - 1
TOL
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PUN
0 - 1
PAC
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PUN
3 - 1
JUA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
NCX
0 - 0
PUN
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PUN
2 - 0
QRT
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CAZ
2 - 1
PUN
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |