Toluca U15 vs Necaxa U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUN
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TUA
0 - 0
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
TOL
4 - 0
JUA
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Necaxa U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
NCX
0 - 1
AME
17%
23%
61%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
QRT
1 - 0
NCX
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
NCX
1 - 1
PBL
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
PUN
3 - 2
NCX
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
NCX
2 - 0
JUA
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |