Liga MX Sub 18 - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Toluca U19 vs Necaxa U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MAZ
3 - 3
TOL
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SNT
0 - 0
TOL
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
4 - 0
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 0
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 3
TOL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 3
NEX
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 0
MAZ
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
NEX
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
PUM
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
NEX
27%
24%
50%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |