Toluca Premier vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
REB
1 - 3
TOL
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 2
TEP
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 2
REB
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 4
ZAC
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 2
QUE
39%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
PAC
0 - 0
ZAC
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 1
TEM
22%
24%
55%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |