Toluca Premier vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 2
QUE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
PAC
2 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
TEM
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 0
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEX
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
REB
2 - 1
CAZ
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 2
REB
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
REB
1 - 0
PAC
53%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TEM
0 - 1
REB
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
REB
0 - 0
ZAM
48%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |