Toluca Premier vs Real Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
COC
1 - 0
TOL
63%
23%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
CAZ
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
YFC
2 - 2
TOL
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 0
REB
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CDT
1 - 1
TOL
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Real Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ORI
24%
29%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
PUM
2 - 1
ZAM
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 0
AME
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
IPC
2 - 1
ZAM
57%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 1
IRA
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |