Toluca Premier vs Real Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PDC
0 - 1
TOL
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 2
LOB
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
4 - 1
CAN
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
JAS
3 - 2
TOL
25%
25%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 1
IPC
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
IRA
4 - 0
ZAM
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
VER
2 - 2
ZAM
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 1
ZAM
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |