Toluca Premier vs Real Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NEX
2 - 1
TOL
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
SOL
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
AEM
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 1
TOL
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ZAM
3 - 1
REB
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 1
ZAM
21%
24%
56%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ZAM
4 - 2
QUE
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
PAC
0 - 0
ZAM
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 3
TEM
40%
25%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |