Toluca Premier vs Pumas UNAM Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
AME
1 - 4
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REB
2 - 4
TOL
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
HAL
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 0
PDC
26%
25%
48%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
PUM
2 - 0
ORI
21%
26%
53%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PDC
2 - 0
PUM
68%
20%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
PUM
2 - 2
CAN
46%
21%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
JAS
1 - 0
PUM
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 2
AME
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |