Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Toluca Premier vs Pumas UNAM Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 1
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
REB
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 2
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
ZAM
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PUM
1 - 2
AME
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
PUM
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
PUM
4 - 2
PDC
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 0
PUM
23%
25%
53%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
PUM
2 - 2
JAS
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |