Toluca Premier vs Pumas UNAM Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 1
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
IRA
28%
24%
47%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IPC
2 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
PUM
3 - 1
IPC
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
PUM
1 - 0
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 3
PUM
29%
25%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
PUM
1 - 1
PAC
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
REB
1 - 2
PUM
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |