Toluca Premier vs Necaxa Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 1
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
4 - 2
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AEM
0 - 1
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
IRA
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 0
TOL
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Necaxa Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NEX
2 - 2
REB
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NEX
0 - 3
QUE
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
PAC
1 - 3
NEX
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
NEX
0 - 2
TEM
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NEX
3 - 1
ZAM
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |