Toluca Premier vs Lobos BUAP Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
4 - 1
CAN
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
JAS
3 - 2
TOL
25%
25%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
PUE
2 - 2
TOL
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUM
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
LOB
3 - 3
JAS
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
LOB
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LOB
1 - 1
PUE
56%
22%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
PUM
1 - 0
LOB
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
LOB
1 - 3
QUE
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |