Toluca Premier vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
ZAC
4 - 1
TOL
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 3
CAN
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ZAM
0 - 0
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
COC
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
IRA
4 - 1
ORI
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
PUM
3 - 2
IRA
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
IRA
5 - 0
AME
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
IPC
0 - 0
IRA
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
IRA
2 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |