Toluca Premier vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IPC
2 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
JAG
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
PAC
0 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IRA
3 - 2
PDC
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
IPC
1 - 5
IRA
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
IRA
3 - 1
CAN
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
VER
3 - 1
IRA
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
IRA
2 - 2
JAS
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |