Toluca Premier vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
TOL
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
UAP
3 - 0
TOL
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 3
CAC
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAC
3 - 4
IRA
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 3
LOR
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
QUE
2 - 1
IRA
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
PAC
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |