Toluca Premier vs Inter Playa del Carmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
VER
2 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
CAZ
42%
28%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 1
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Inter Playa del Carmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
IRA
0 - 0
IPC
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IPC
0 - 0
VER
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 2
IPC
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
IPC
0 - 4
JAG
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
REB
2 - 0
IPC
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |