Toluca Premier vs Guadalajara Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
TIG
4 - 0
TOL
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIG
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAC
3 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 0
ZAC
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalajara Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
QUE
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 1
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
6 - 1
MZA
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
TIJ
3 - 0
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
5 - 4
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |